The Log
Every bet, every pass. Written up when the bet is placed, not after it settles.
- Record
- 2–0
- Net units
- 0.0u
- ROI
- —
- Pending
- 0
- Too Hard
- 1
- No Bet
Pricing a Derby Format That's Never Been Played
New swing-count format should compress totals vs the timed era — but every number I got to was a lean, not an edge.
- Won
95° in Coney Island: Betting NO on Joey Chestnut 70+
Hottest contest ever forecast; the market was anchored to Chestnut's cool-weather baseline and nobody else pulled the weather data.
- Won
How I Won $100,000 in a Week by Finding a Hidden Arb in PrizePicks’ “Stacks” Product
The contest format never de-risked correlated legs — first place pays 10x, and ties still pay the full guarantee.